Labour’s Lost Vote
Labour’s 2024 majority marked a historic turning point — but growing fragmentation on the left is beginning to test the party’s support. Our new report explores how the Greens, Liberal Democrats and independents are reshaping Britain’s progressive politics.
©Reform UK party leader Nigel Farage speaks during Britain’s Reform UK party’s national conference in Birmingham, Britain, September 20, 2024. REUTERS/Hollie Adams.
Labour’s Lost Vote
Understanding Britain’s shifting progressive politics
Britain’s political landscape is already shifting again after the 2024 election. Labour’s landslide victory redrew the map, but its first year in government has exposed growing strains within its progressive support. While much of the focus has been on Reform UK on the right, quieter but equally important changes are taking place on Labour’s left.
The Greens and Liberal Democrats are gaining ground, while independents and new movements such as Your Party are beginning to make an impact. These changes are already shaping control of local authorities, influencing policy priorities and affecting planning decisions across the country.
That’s why Concilio has launched Labour’s Lost Vote – a new political analysis series offering clear, practical insight into how progressive politics in Britain is evolving.
Our first edition explores:
- Voter issues and by-election data, showing how cost of living, housing, immigration and foreign policy are reshaping Labour’s support and accelerating fragmentation on the left
- The Greens’ surge and the appeal of a Zack Polanski-style approach, built around simple messaging, economic fairness and a people-first tone that’s resonating with younger and disillusioned progressive voters
- The growth of Your Party and independents, alongside the early organisational challenges facing Your Party, raising questions about how far new left alternatives can turn momentum into a durable political force
- Regional shifts in Scotland and Wales, with the SNP and Plaid Cymru gaining ground and turning former Labour strongholds into competitive battlegrounds
- The growing role of the Liberal Democrats as the default home for centrist and pro-EU voters drifting away from Labour
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