What’s shaping the London Local Elections in 2026
2026 is a different moment entirely.
After 2022, Labour controlled 21 of London’s 32 boroughs. It was the party’s strongest-ever performance in local government in the capital, and it came on the back of the Conservatives’ worst years in living memory.
Since Labour’s general election victory, by-election data shows the party’s London vote has fallen by nearly 18%. That’s not one bad night. It’s a pattern, playing out differently in different parts of the city and driven by five distinct forces.
Over the next two weeks, we’re setting out all five: from a Green surge across the capital, to an underreported Lib Dem advance, to the dynamics of Reform UK and the pro-Gaza independent parties that, in some boroughs, represent the most immediate threat to Labour control. All while considering whether the Conservatives can take advantage of this political moment.
Five themes. Two weeks. One election on 7 May that will shape the conditions for planning and development across London for the next four years
7th May
revealed
The Green Surge
The Green surge is here, and it will have direct implications for planning and housing across London
View more hereThe Green Surge
Coming soon
The Lib Dem Story
Coming soon
The Tory fight back
Coming soon
The Reform Factor
Coming soon
Pro-Gaza Independents
Coming soon